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Mortgage Rates on FIRE! Home Prices Up in Smoke?

Thursday, February 22, 2018   /   by Amy McLeod

Mortgage Rates on FIRE! Home Prices Up in Smoke?

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Mortgage interest rates have already risen by over a quarter of a percentage point in 2018. Many are projecting that rates could increase to 5% by the end of the year.

What impact will rising rates have on house values?

Many quickly jump to the conclusion that an increase in mortgage rates will have a detrimental impact on real estate prices as fewer buyers will be able to qualify for a loan. This seems logical; if there is less demand for housing then prices will drop.

However, in a good economy, rising mortgage rates increase demand as many prospective purchasers immediately jump off the fence to guarantee they get the lower rate.

Let’s look at home prices the last four times mortgage rates increased dramatically.
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In each case, home prices APPRECIATED and did not depreciate. No one is projecting as dramatic an increase in rates as the examples above. Most are projecting an increase of approximately 1% by the end of the year.

The last time mortgage rates increased by 1% over a twelve-month period was January 2013 (3.41%) to January 2014 (4.43%). What happened to house prices during that span? They appreciated by 9.8%.

Just two weeks ago, Rick Palacios Jr., Director of Research at John Burns Real Estate Consulting explained:

“Mortgage rates have risen 1% or more ten times in the last 43 years, with little impact on home sales and prices when the economy was also strong…Historically, rising confidence, solid job growth, and higher wages have more than offset reduced demand for housing resulting from higher mortgage rates.”

Bottom Line

When mortgage rates increase, history has shown that prices appreciate (and do not depreciate) during that same time span.

Contact The McLeod Group Network today to discuss your options!  971.208.5093 or mcleodgroupoffice@gmail.com.

By: KCM Crew


  amy mcleod, mcleod group network, homebuyers, homeowners, home sellers, home values, housing market updates, mortgage interest rates, home prices

The McLeod Group Network - KW Capital City
Amy McLeod
1900 Hines St SE, Suite 220
Salem, OR 97302
971-208-5093
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Lighthouse Mortgage
Phil Gerstner
110 Wallace Rd. NW
Salem, OR 97304
503-871-4968
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Homeside Mortgage
Sales Manager, AVP
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Aaron Memmott
Finance of America
Mortgage Advisor
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NMLS# 1048117
Direct: (503) 718-9876
Cell: (503) 551-1115
Fax: (855) 639-2956

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Elizabeth Smith
Caliber Home Loans
elizabeth.smith@caliberhomeloans.com
NMLS# 228191
Cell: 503-910-0415
eFAX: 844-538-4687

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